EPL Premium

Updated 2018 EPL model – Featuring expected goals handicapping: probability of scoring from a shot based on position and defender location (and the specific player taking the shot)

 

Riley also goes into his new *Tactical* rating system, attempting to quantify: 

  • Ball Winning = Interceptions / Opponents possession
  • Fluidity Net =  Quality of expected goals vs quality of expected goals allowed
  • Attack Efficiency = Expected goals / Possession
  • Defense Efficiency  = Expected goals allowed  / Opp Possession
  • Ball Advancement Rating = Value each player adds to advancing the ball in each game

 

How to bet on EPL Soccer – Overview

EPL Soccer Betting Model – Player Ratings Video

Get all access to EPL Soccer for $39/mo! 

Full Access. All the Data.