Premier League Betting Edge – EPL Analytics Podcast

MATCHWEEK 38

On this week’s episode, the guys look at some sneaky value in London. How is the CDS team gonna set you up for the Spurs v. Everton match?

Riley brings it with analysis for the final week of the season.  The guys also talk about this magical season, the model and the CDS off season approach for the 2019-20 EPL season.

Also on the pod, there is good Champions league talk. The guys touch upon the Clear Data UCL finals strategy as we move into this match with an 8-1 Liverpool ticket in our pocket.

 

To learn more about our EPL handicapping process, check out this page: https://www.cleardatasports.com/advanced-soccer-analytics/

MATCHWEEK 37

On this week’s episode, the guys go deep into the Man City v. Leicester game and two official plays are talked about.

As usual, the podcast includes Riley’s great analysis and stat gems from Mark.  However, Riley drops what could be the best joke of the year and it initially goes way over Mark’s head.

 

MATCHWEEK 36

On this week’s episode, Riley gives in depth analysis on two matches including a double play on the Newcastle v. Brighton match. 

Riley also picks out a 19% edge play on Leicester, and goes deep into the models ratings behind the selection.

Finally, Riley discusses some small tweaks in the model in preparation for the final few weeks of the EPL season. 

Overall, there are a total of 9 plays on the card, including two double plays, in what should be a wild matchweek 36. 

 

MATCHWEEK 35

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 35 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed. This podcast is deep with analysis.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the West Ham v Leicester game. The CDS guys are bullish on the Foxes and they tell you why as they breakdown the metrics for this game. Then, the guys give out a nice three headed parlay in this match as a bonus.

Riley then deals out a gem in the Chelsea v Burnley game that has a 25% value number based on the model.

Plus, with Kane out because of injury, Riley has identified value in the EPL goal scorer market and he uncovers this at the end of the podcast.

 

MATCHWEEK 34

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 34 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Brighton v Bournemouth game that has value on both of the CDSA models.

Riley then deals out a nice play in the Liverpool v. Chelsea backed again by both models.

The guys also joke about a theoretical model that analyzes games and predicts based on the quality and frequency of Mark’s jokes.

 

MATCHWEEK 33

On this week’s episode, the CDSA team dives deep into the Newcastle v. Crystal Palace match and goes over a nice addition to the EPL model.

Strong model vs. line value exists in the aforementioned game for both the side play and with the total projection. If that wasn’t enough, the guys identify a three position parlay that has value at 20-1.

Riley then describes the newly minted BAR DATA “model within the model”. He talks about the main premise of this addition and how you can use it in your weekly EPL endeavors.

 

MATCHWEEK 32

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 32 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

 

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Fulham v Man City game. Riley identifies a goal scorer bet in this game that has a 27.1% expected value based on Riley’s BAR goal scorer model.

 

Riley then deals out a nice play in the Leicester v. Bournemouth and the guys cap the podcast off with a three headed parlay in this game.

 

MATCHWEEK 30

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 30 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Chelsea v Wolves game. Projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models and Riley goes deep into the total. Mark also pulls out his stat of the week for this one.

Riley then deals out a goal scorer in the S’Hampton v. Tottenham derived from his BAR model and has tremendous value in the market this week.

MATCHWEEK 29

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 29 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Watford v Leicester game. Projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models and a 14-1 three headed parlay is given out. These plays both have great value.

Riley then deals out a CDSA total in the Everton v L’Pool match. The CDSA totals have been great this season and Riley explains how great on the pod.

MATCHWEEK 28

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 28 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Mark and Riley first discuss the the Newcastle v Burnley game. Projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models and a 20-1 three headed parlay is given out. These plays both have great value.

Riley then reveals a tasty treat with the first “official” goal scorer play in the history of the CDSA soccer model in the L’Pool v. Watford game.

MATCHWEEK 27

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 27 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

After thwarting the State of Virginia’s plans to hire Riley as a sweeper, Basewinner talks with Riley about two upcoming matches and some nice plays are dealt.

Mark and Riley discuss the total in the Burnley v. Tottenham games and projections are given based on the SHAG and the BAR models.

Riley then discusses the big Sunday game involving Man U and L’Pool. He explains why there is value in this one.

The MW27 bonus three headed parlay is broken down by Basewinner by value pct. based in the CDSA soccer models aggregate.

MATCHWEEK 26

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 26 games are analyzed and two official plays are revealed.

Riley deals out two nice looking totals on this one.

Mark and Riley talk about the new module Riley has built to identify goal scorer value as the guys break down the Fulham v. Man U game.

Riley then goes deep into the S’Hampton v. Cardiff game and explains why he has his favorite play of the weekend in this match.

The MW26 bonus three headed parlay is explained in depth and this one looks like it has great value.

MATCHWEEK 25

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 25 games are analyzed and two CDSA future plays are revealed.

Riley brings his statistical flamethrower to the MW25 pod. You can almost feel the burn as the Burnley v. S’Hampton game is reviewed. The guys also point out the value generated by both the SHAG and the BAR model in this game.

Riley then explains his passion for the model’s Chelsea v. Huddersfield projection. The model’s difference in this game is one of the biggest of the year.

As a bonus, Mark and Riley also give out a goal scorer -winner – total for the MW 25 card that has a big price and good value at 9.5 to 1.

As a double bonus, two official CDSA future plays derived from Riley’s EPL Season Simulator are explained in depth.

EPL & UCL combo recap + model discussion

You get the deep tracks on this one. Riley and Mark recap EPL MW 16 and UCL, plus some soccer and college basketball modeling discussion.

You will find out which teams got lucky, who “should have” won by the underlying stats and if we can learn anything from the week’s results.

Also, Mark and Riley talk about the modeling process, an update on the new CDSA College Basketball model (40:20) and Riley talks about his upcoming journey to hallowed EPL grounds.

Matchweek 14 Breakdown – Arsenal v. Spurs and Huddersfield v. Brighton

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 14 games are analyzed. Riley & Mark dig into the Arsenal v. Spurs game with advanced stats. They review the numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics.

Riley breaks down the Spurs lineup and goes over what he anticipates.

The guys also talk about Huddersfield v. Brighton. This match is not sexy, but Riley highlights the model’s projections and he thinks this game contains a play that is a hidden gem.

Mark also chimes in with some interesting betting stats regarding Huddersfield.

As a bonus, BW gives out a goal scorer – winner parlay for the MW 14 card that has a +245 potential payoff.

On this week’s episode, two Matchweek 14 games are analyzed. Riley & Mark dig into the Arsenal v. Spurs game with advanced stats. They review the numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics.

Riley breaks down the Spurs lineup and goes over what he anticipates.

The guys also talk about Huddersfield v. Brighton. This match is not sexy, but Riley highlights the model’s projections and he thinks this game contains a play that is a hidden gem.

Mark also chimes in with some interesting betting stats regarding Huddersfield.

As a bonus, BW gives out a goal scorer – winner parlay for the MW 14 card that has a +245 potential payoff.

Matchweek 13 Breakdown – City at Hammers and Spurs v. Chelsea

On this week’s episode, two big Matchweek 13 games are analyzed. Riley & Mark dig into the Man City game with advanced stats. They review the numbers the model generates for this game and talk about potential tactics.

Mark reveals a number that is very interesting regarding Manchester City totals.

The guys also talk about Spurs v. Chelsea. Riley loves this play and he talks about the team component ratings ratings that create the projected number and 25% market edge.

As a bonus, BW gives out a goal scorer -winner – total for the MW 13 card that has a +675 potential payoff.