NFL Week 8 (Members)

NFL Week 8 (Members)

 

Full NFL Week 8 Overview:

NFL Week 8 Overview

 

Key:
Vegas: Betting Line (at sportsbooks)
Money: Betting Moneyline (at sportsbooks)
CDS Spread: Our projection of what the spread should be
CDS PTS: Our projection of total points scored by each team
CDS ML: Our projection of what the moneyline should be
AP v HDP: Away Team Passing Rating vs Home Team Pass Defense Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
AR v HDR: Away Team Rushing Rating vs Home Team Rush Defense Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
ADP v HP: Away Team Pass Defense Rating vs Home Team Pass Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
ADR v HR: Away Team Rush Defense Rating vs Home Team Rush Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
TRUE: True talent rating for entire team combined (100 average, higher is better)
TOM: Turnover margin for the season

 

Week 8 Official Plays

 

  • 1* Den +7.5 -115 (Hedge Out with KC -7.5 +105)
  • 1* Den 1H +4 +100 L
  • 1* Den/KC 1H Under 21.5 -110 W
  • 0.5* Pit -3 +100 W

 

You can view the official log of plays here: 2017 NFL Record & Play Sheet

 

Live Plays

 

  • 0.5* Atlanta pk -140 W
  • 0.5* LAC +8.5 +125 W

 

 

Note: I am going to have 1*, 2*, and 3* plays for NFL this year. But this sizing does not carry over from MLB. We are using a much smaller overall bankroll for NFL compared to MLB. Our NFL product is still relatively new compared to the steady results of MLB. For instance .67* in MLB should be a bigger overall bet than 2* NFL. If I used a 10k bankroll for MLB, I would probably use a 3k bankroll for NFL (play sizes of $30, $60, $90).

 

Resources:

-NFL Record (2017 Clear Data Sports): Google Sheet

-NFL Statatuba (Full game): http://statatuba.com/NFL/BasicLines

-NFL Statatuba (1st Half)http://statatuba.com/NFL/firsthalflines

 

 

Miami v Baltimore

Miami v Baltimore

Minnesota v Cleveland

Minnesota v Cleveland

Chicago v New Orleans

Chicago v New Orleans

Atlanta v NY Jets

Atlanta v NY Jets

Carolina v Tampa Bay

Carolina v Tampa Bay

San Francisco v Philadelphia

San Francisco v Philadelphia

Oakland v Buffalo

Oakland v Buffalo

Indianapolis v Cincinnati

Indianapolis v Cincinnati

LA Chargers v New England

LA Chargers v New England

Houston v Seattle

Houston v Seattle

Dallas v Washington

Dallas v Washington

Pittsburgh v Detroit

Pittsburgh v Detroit

Denver v Kansas City

Denver v Kansas City

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