NFL Week 7 (Members)

NFL Week 7 (Members)

 

Full NFL Week 7 Overview:

Overview

 

Key:
Vegas: Betting Line (at sportsbooks)
Money: Betting Moneyline (at sportsbooks)
CDS Spread: Our projection of what the spread should be
CDS PTS: Our projection of total points scored by each team
CDS ML: Our projection of what the moneyline should be
AP v HDP: Away Team Passing Rating vs Home Team Pass Defense Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
AR v HDR: Away Team Rushing Rating vs Home Team Rush Defense Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
ADP v HP: Away Team Pass Defense Rating vs Home Team Pass Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
ADR v HR: Away Team Rush Defense Rating vs Home Team Rush Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
TRUE: True talent rating for entire team combined (100 average, higher is better)
TOM: Turnover margin for the season

 

Week 7 Official Plays

 

  • 1* DEN/LAC under 42.5 -110 W
  • 1* 1H OAK +1.5 -105 L
  • 1* 1H Jax/Ind under 22 -110 W
  • 1* 1H Den/LAC under 20 -105 W
  • 1* 1H Indy +2.5 +100 L
  • 1* 1H CHC +2.5 +100 W
  • 1* 1H NYG +3 -115 W

 

You can view the official log of plays here: 2017 NFL Record & Play Sheet

 

Live Plays

 

  • 1* Jax/Ind u 47.5 -110   W
  • 1* Phi pk -117 W

 

 

Note: I am going to have 1*, 2*, and 3* plays for NFL this year. But this sizing does not carry over from MLB. We are using a much smaller overall bankroll for NFL compared to MLB. Our NFL product is still relatively new compared to the steady results of MLB. For instance .67* in MLB should be a bigger overall bet than 2* NFL. If I used a 10k bankroll for MLB, I would probably use a 3k bankroll for NFL (play sizes of $30, $60, $90).

 

Resources:

-NFL Record (2017 Clear Data Sports): Google Sheet

-NFL Statatuba (Full game): http://statatuba.com/NFL/BasicLines

-NFL Statatuba (1st Half)http://statatuba.com/NFL/firsthalflines

 

 

Kansas City v Oakland

Kansas City v Oakland

Tennessee v Cleveland

Tennessee v Cleveland

Jacksonville v Indianapolis

Jacksonville v Indianapolis

Cincinnati v Pittsburgh

Cincinnati v Pittsburgh

Baltimore v Minnesota

Baltimore v Minnesota

NY Jets v Miami

NY Jets v Miami

Tampa Bay v Buffalo

Tampa Bay v Buffalo

Carolina v Chicago

Carolina v Chicago

New Orleans v Green Bay

New Orleans v Green Bay

Arizona v LA Rams

Arizona v LA Rams

Dallas v San Francisco

Dallas v San Francisco

Seattle v NY Giants

Seattle v NY Giants

Denver v LA Chargers

Denver v LA Chargers

Atlanta v New England

Atlanta v New England

Washington v Philadelphia

Washington v Philadelphia

 

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