NFL Week 6 (Members)

NFL Week 6 (Members)

 

Full NFL Week 6 Overview:

MLB Baseball Betting Stats

 

Key:
Vegas: Betting Line (at sportsbooks)
Money: Betting Moneyline (at sportsbooks)
CDS Spread: Our projection of what the spread should be
CDS PTS: Our projection of total points scored by each team
CDS ML: Our projection of what the moneyline should be
AP v HDP: Away Team Passing Rating vs Home Team Pass Defense Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
AR v HDR: Away Team Rushing Rating vs Home Team Rush Defense Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
ADP v HP: Away Team Pass Defense Rating vs Home Team Pass Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
ADR v HR: Away Team Rush Defense Rating vs Home Team Rush Rating (100 average; higher better for offense, lower better for defense)
TRUE: True talent rating for entire team combined (100 average, higher is better)
TOM: Turnover margin for the season

 

Week 6 Official Plays

 

  • 1* 1H Philadephia +2.5 W
  • 1* 1H Phi/Car under 21.5 -105 W
  • 2* 1H Minnesota +1.5 -110 W
  • 2* 1H NY Giants +7 -115 W
  • 1* 1H Cleveland +6 -110 L
  • 1* 1H New York Jets +6 -110 W
  • 1* 1H Pittsburgh +2.5 -105 W
  • 1* 1H NYG/Den under 19 -110 L
  • 1* New Orleans -4 -110 (full game) W

You can view the official log of plays here: 2017 NFL Record & Play Sheet

 

Live Plays

 

  • 1* 2H CLE +2.5 +100 (+23.5 for game) W

 

Week 6 Leans (based solely on CDS projections):

  • CLE +9.5
    NYJ +9.5
    NO -4
    MIN +4
    Pit +4
    NYG +12.5
    Car u46
    Den u40.5

 

Note: I am going to have 1*, 2*, and 3* plays for NFL this year. But this sizing does not carry over from MLB. We are using a much smaller overall bankroll for NFL compared to MLB. Our NFL product is still relatively new compared to the steady results of MLB. For instance .67* in MLB should be a bigger overall bet than 2* NFL. If I used a 10k bankroll for MLB, I would probably use a 3k bankroll for NFL (play sizes of $30, $60, $90).

 

Resources:

-NFL Record (2017 Clear Data Sports): Google Sheet

-NFL Statatuba (Full game): http://statatuba.com/NFL/BasicLines

-NFL Statatuba (1st Half)http://statatuba.com/NFL/firsthalflines

 

Philadelphia v Carolina

Philadelphia v Carolina

Cleveland v Houston

Cleveland v Houston

New England v NY Jets

New England v NY Jets

Miami v Atlanta

Miami v Atlanta

Detroit v New Orleans

Detroit v New Orleans

Green Bay v Minnesota

Green Bay v Minnesota

Chicago v Baltimore

Chicago v Baltimore

San Francisco v Washington

San Francisco v Washington

LA Rams v Jacksonville

LA Rams v Jacksonville

Tampa Bay v Arizona

Tampa Bay v Arizona

Pittsburgh v Kansas City

Pittsburgh v Kansas City

LA Chargers v Oakland

LA Chargers v Oakland

NY Giants v Denver

NY Giants v Denver

Indianapolis v Tennessee

Indianapolis v Tennessee

 

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