NFL Week 1 (Members)

NFL Week 1 (Members)

 

 

 

Full NFL Week 1 Overview:

Week 1 Official Plays

  • 2* Jax/Hou UNDER 40 -110 W
  • 2* SEA/GB UNDER 51 -110 W
  • 2* SDC/DEN UNDER 43 -110 L
  • 2* Sea +3 -105  L
  • 2* LAC +3.5 -120 (Split this with 1H–HEDGE down to 1*) W
  • 1* DEN -3 +105 (HEDGE) P
  • 1* 1H LAC +2.5 -105 L
  • 1* Car/SF UNDER 47.5 -105  W
  • 1* NYG/DAL UNDER 47.5 -105  W
  • 1* AZ-1 -125  L
  • 1* Jax/Hou 1H under 19.5 -105  W

6-4 +3*

Official Live Plays:

  • 1* NYJ +10.5 -110 W
  • 1* IND/LAR UNDER 49.5 -110 L

 

Chi +7  (Note: This one is tricky. With a healthy set of starters, this would be a great play. But injuries. We are watching Kyle Long and Eddie Goldman questionable status. CB Amukamara now listed as doubtful. Not good, especially vs ATL WRs and the 2nd CB for CHI we have rated as a weak spot already. Backup probably not going to get much better.  Going to be watching this one and decide before kickoff once we know active status of these key players. 

I may also add official plays before kickoff. Will post them here and via email.

Live betting watch (live show on Twitter @ClearDataSports)

*Jets (when trailing 3+): Buffalo awful pass D, Jets solid run D.

*Chicago (when trailing 3+): Bears STRONG run D. ATL solid secondary and pass rush however.

Jax/Hou UNDER (If Houston goes up 10-14 early). Only weakness in either team D is Jax safety coverage.

Wash (when trailing 4-7): Phi weakness in secondary (but strong DL)

Ten: If no MACK

Balt (when trailing 4-7): Balt STRONG Run D. Cin w/o Jones CB (and Burfict coverage+ also)

SEA/GB UNDER (If Seattle goes up 10-14 early). Only weakness in either team D is GB CB coverage.

CAR (when trailing 4-7): CAR STRONG Run D. SF overall poorish D. Also LIVE UNDER (If CAR goes up 10-14 early).

NYG/DAL UNDER (If DALLAS goes up 10-14 early). Only weakness in either team D is DAL RUN D.

 

Full List of Leans (based solely on CDS projections):

NYJ +9
CHI +7
JAX +5
Wash pk
AZ pk
SEA +3
LAC +3.5

 

Note: I am going to have 1*, 2*, and 3* plays for NFL this year. But this sizing does not carry over from MLB. We are using a much smaller overall bankroll for NFL compared to MLB. Our NFL product is still relatively new compared to the steady results of MLB. For instance .67* in MLB should be a bigger overall bet than 2* NFL. If I used a 10k bankroll for MLB, I would probably use a 3k bankroll for NFL (play sizes of $30, $60, $90).

 

NY Jets v Buffalo Bills

NY Jets v Buffalo Bills

Atlanta v Chicago

Atlanta v Chicago

Jacksonville v Houston

Jacksonville v Houston

Philadelphia v Washington

Philadelphia v Washington

Arizona v Detroit

Arizona v Detroit

Oakland v Tennessee

Oakland v Tennessee

Baltimore v Cincinnati

Pittsburgh v Cleveland

Pittsburgh v Cleveland

Indianapolis v Los Angeles Rams

Indianapolis v Los Angeles Rams

Seattle v Green Bay

Seattle v Green Bay

Carolina v San Francisco

Carolina v San Francisco

NY Giants v Dallas

NY Giants v Dallas

New Orleans v Minnesota

New Orleans v Minnesota

LA Chargers v Denver

LA Chargers v Denver

 

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