16 Jun June 16 – MLB Series Plays
The Basewinner gets you ready for the weekend with this podcast!
Value has been created for a play on the Saturday’s card and on a series play in games between the STL v. BAL.
BW breaks down the key numbers and goes six deep with the log cutter.
St. Louis v Baltimore Series Analysis:
Note: These are experimental plays (still in beta):
How to read the MLB Series Play Chart:
St. Louis Game 1 (June 16):
63% Win Expectancy (equates to -170 “true” moneyline)
St. Louis Game 2 (June 17):
56% Win Expectancy (equates to -129 “true” moneyline)
St. Louis Game 3 (June 18):
47% Win Expectancy (equates to +111″true” moneyline)
Average Win Expectancy all 3 games: 55.6% (equates to -125″true” moneyline)
Binomial Calculation (odds to win 2 of 3 games at these win expectancy): 58.4% (equates to -140″true” moneyline)
Vegas odds on STL v BAL series: STL -105 vs BAL -115
BaseWinner series play: STL -105