27 Jul July 28 – BaseWinner Crunch (Members)
The Basewinner has his eye on a sweet double play in one game on the Friday card.
It’s the crapper bowl, but value has been created for two plays in the BAL v. TEX game. BW breaks down the key numbers and uses the log cutter to look at pitching stats and projections.
Official Plays [FRI July 28]:
.67* 956 MIA -105
.67* AZ/STL under8.5
.67* 964 SDP +102
.67* 970 BOS -175
.67* 973 BAL +122
.67* Bal/Tex over11
Note: We are “risking” 1% on favs and underdogs. Not “to win” 1%.
Note: Make sure the line still provides 10+ points of value (your betting line vs the BW projected spread)
Over the next couple months, you may notice we have passed on a few games that appear to have a significant line value difference. This is based on Mark’s research into a similar game model to filter out certain plays. We will start sharing some of these correlation studies on upcoming shows!