24 Jul July 25 – BaseWinner Crunch (Members)
On this edition of the Basewinner Crunch, the Basewinner goes over a value situation that has been created for tomorrow in the Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays game and BW attacks it from several angles.
First, BW goes over log cutter stats for Wade Miley and Jacob Faria. Then BW, looks at both bullpens.
Official Plays [TUE July 25]:
.67* 906 ARI -141
.67* 908 SDP +100
.67* 912 TOR +110
.67* 913 LAA +159
.67* 916 DET -136
.67* 917 BAL +135
.67* 925 CIN +160
.67* 927 MIA +133
Note: We are “risking” 1% on favs and underdogs. Not “to win” 1%.
Note: Make sure the line still provides 10+ points of value (your betting line vs the BW projected spread)
Over the next couple months, you may notice we have passed on a few games that appear to have a significant line value difference. This is based on Mark’s research into a similar game model to filter out certain plays. We will start sharing some of these correlation studies on upcoming shows!