14 Aug August 15 – BaseWinner Crunch (Members)
On this edition of the Basewinner Crunch, the Basewinner reviews the YTD, monthly and previous week’s results and looks at Tuesday’s betting card to uncover value.
There is one play on the podcast that the BW goes deep into.
The play is in the Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays game and BW uses the log cutter to look at Blake Snell’s and Marco Estrada’s pitching stats and projections.
Official Plays [TUE August 15]:
.67* 953 PIT +114
.67* TB/TOR over 9 -107
.67* 964 TEX +111
.67* KC/OAK under 9 -107
.67* 972 ARI +111
.67* 973 NYM +132
.67* 975 LAA +127
1* 980 LAD -335
Note: We are “risking” 1% on favs and underdogs. Not “to win” 1%.
Note: Make sure the line still provides 10+ points of value (your betting line vs the BW projected spread)
Over the next couple months, you may notice we have passed on a few games that appear to have a significant line value difference. This is based on Mark’s research into a similar game model to filter out certain plays. We will start sharing some of these correlation studies on upcoming shows!