Advanced Soccer Analytics

Updated 2019 EPL model – Featuring expected goals handicapping: probability of scoring from a shot based on position and defender location (and the specific player taking the shot)

Riley also goes into his new *Tactical* rating system, attempting to quantify: 

• Ball Winning = Interceptions / Opponents possession
• Fluidity Net =  Quality of expected goals vs quality of expected goals allowed
• Attack Efficiency = Expected goals / Possession
• Defense Efficiency  = Expected goals allowed  / Opp Possession
• Ball Advancement Rating = Value each player adds to advancing the ball in each game

How to bet on EPL Soccer – Overview

EPL Soccer Betting Model – Player Ratings Video

 
 
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